<p><b>Startup description</b></p><p>Courtyard.io sells digital packs of real, graded, vaulted collectibles (Pokémon, sports cards, One Piece, comics, sneakers, watches) from $15 to $5,000 a rip. Collectors spend real money on every pack and, until my tool, had no way to know which packs pay back and which quietly drain them.</p><p><b>My tool watches every single pull, around the clock: 199,790 pulls recorded since July 2026, more than 3,500 a day, across 212 packs.</b> From that it computes the number every collector wants before they click "open": the pack's expected value, its real observed odds, how those odds moved in the last 48 hours, and a plain-English verdict on whether to rip, wait or skip. Free tier for SEO and sign-ups; Pro at $19.89/month or $190.94/year.</p><p>I built it in July 2026 after seeing collectors guess at pack value from screenshots and Discord rumours. The first paying customer arrived on 27 Aug 2026 from organic search.</p><p><b>Key highlights:</b></p><ul> <li>Annual revenue: $330.17 gross so far (Aug to 11 Nov 2026); current run-rate $907/year ($75.58 MRR)</li> <li>Annual profit: roughly break-even today, ~$70/month after hosting and fees (see Revenue and profit)</li> <li>Churn rate: ~10% monthly (1 cancellation across ~4 subscribers over 2.5 months)</li> <li>LTV: ~$199 at $19.89/month and 10% monthly churn</li> <li>CAC: $0. Every customer came from organic search; nothing has been spent on marketing</li> <li>Business margin: ~15% today; ~85% for a buyer who already pays for Vercel/Supabase plans</li> <li>199,790 pulls recorded, 212 packs tracked, 386 pages in the sitemap, 32 registered accounts</li> </ul> <p><b>Team</b></p><p>Solo founder (me). The product runs itself: the scraper, EV rankings, Pro access, receipts, failed-payment emails and a production health monitor are all automated. Owner time is minimal: answering the occasional customer email and glancing at the monitor.</p><p><b>Tech Stack</b></p><ul> <li>Next.js 15 (App Router) + TypeScript + Tailwind: the whole site, 386 SEO pages and the Pro dashboard</li> <li>Supabase (Postgres + Auth): pull history, pack stats, accounts and subscriptions</li> <li>Vercel: hosting plus scheduled jobs (scraper, stats refresh, alerts, monitor)</li> <li>PayPal Subscriptions: monthly and annual Pro plans, including a 40% first-year annual offer plan</li> <li>Resend: transactional email (receipts, alerts, payment-failed dunning)</li> <li>817 automated tests and a prerender audit script guard the codebase</li> </ul> <p><b>Marketing and growth</b></p><p>Growth to date is 100% organic: SEO pages for every pack and category, plus Learn guides. There has been no paid acquisition, no influencer or Discord partnership, no affiliate programme and no email marketing. The 32 registered accounts have never received a marketing email. A 40% first-year annual offer is already built and shown to free accounts, ready to be pushed.</p><p>Obvious next steps for a buyer: partner with Courtyard YouTubers and Discord servers, run an opt-in email campaign to existing accounts, and add pages for each new pack category Courtyard launches (picked up automatically by the scraper).</p><p><b>Revenue and profit</b></p><ul> <li>Revenue by month (exact, from PayPal): Aug 2026 $19.89 · Sep $230.72 (includes one $190.94 annual prepayment) · Oct $59.67 · Nov 1 to 11 $19.89</li> <li>Paying subscriptions now: 4 (3 monthly at $19.89, 1 annual at $190.94) = $75.58 MRR; plus $19.89 MRR at risk (one renewal failed, PayPal retrying)</li> <li>Lifetime gross revenue $330.17; PayPal fees $18.39</li> <li>Monthly costs: Vercel ~$0, Supabase $25, PayPal fees ~$4, domain ~$4, Resend $0 = ~$33</li> <li>Net profit: ~$70/month at today's run-rate</li> </ul> <p><b>Return on investment</b></p><p>At today's numbers the payback period is long, and I won't pretend otherwise: this is an asset and growth purchase, not a cash-flow one. The return comes from three things: (1) hosting cost. A buyer already paying for Vercel and Supabase adds almost no cost, which lifts monthly profit from ~$12 to ~$67. (2) Distribution. Every additional 10 monthly subscribers adds ~$199 MRR, and none of the growth channels have been used yet. (3) The dataset, which can't be recreated and grows every day.</p><p><b>Startup assets</b></p><ul> <li>Domain&nbsp;</li> <li>Full Next.js + TypeScript source code (173 commits, 817 passing tests)</li> <li>Supabase database: 199,790 pull records since 12 Jul 2026, 212 packs, price and EV history</li> <li>386 indexed SEO pages, including pack pages and Learn guides</li> <li>32 registered user accounts (not opted in to marketing email)</li> <li>4 active paid subscriptions (they must re-subscribe on the buyer's PayPal; PayPal subscriptions don't transfer between accounts)</li> <li>Brand assets and email templates</li> <li>30 days of handover support</li> </ul> <p><b>Risks</b></p><ul> <li>Platform dependency: the data comes from Courtyard.io's public pull feed. If Courtyard changes or blocks it, the product stops updating. Mitigation: the scraper is isolated in one module, and the existing history keeps its value either way.</li> <li>Young business: about three months of revenue, small numbers.</li> <li>Churn: 6 paying customers to date; 1 cancelled, 1 renewal currently failing.</li> <li>One permanent data gap, 24 to 26 Sep 2026 (feed outage).</li> <li>PayPal subscriptions don't transfer: existing subscribers re-subscribe on the buyer's plans. With 4 subscribers this is a one-email job.</li> </ul> <p><b>Summary</b></p><p>You get a finished, automated, well-tested analytics product with paying customers, a proprietary dataset no competitor can collect after the fact, and a growth plan nobody has started. It fits a collectibles creator or Discord owner with an audience, a SaaS operator who wants a data moat instead of a blank repo, or a Courtyard-adjacent business. All revenue is verifiable in PayPal, and I'll walk any serious buyer through the live dashboards on a call.</p><p>✅ $330 TTM revenue</p><p>✅ 4 customers</p><p>✅ Business model: SaaS</p><p>✅ Built with Next.js, Paypal, Supabase</p>